A Nurse.org report assesses why the U.S. Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA) has significantly revised its projections for a national nursing shortage.
In late 2014, HRSA projected that 34 states were expected to have a shortage of nurses by the year 2025. But in July 2017, that figure was revised to just seven states facing a shortage by the year 2030.
Those states are as follows (ordered from smallest to largest projected shortage):
- South Dakota
- South Carolina
- New Jersey
Note: To view projected nursing demand by state, click here.
So what changed? According to the Nurse. org report:
The reality is that efforts by both nursing schools and federal and local governments to fill positions has resulted in a projected surplus of nurses in some states where a shortage was once predicted.
These new projections don’t necessarily mean there aren’t other states currently facing or anticipating a shortage. A quick glance through local news reports tells the story:
- Maine’s WGME notes that new data shows the state’s “nurse shortage is expected to grow by the year 2025.”
- In West Virginia, WSAZ reports that nursing leaders recently gathered to discuss ways to address the state’s nurse shortage.
- A report from TheStatehouseFile.com, an Indiana news service provided by Franklin College, highlights that state’s nurse and doctor shortage.
- A commentary piece in The Salt Lake Tribune aims to raise awareness of the nursing shortage in Utah.
With uncertainty in health care and the economy, it will be interesting to see whether — and how — projections change over the next few years.